A PASSING FANTASY ISSUE 46 1999 SEASON WEEK THREE
NFLBP PLAYER NEWSLETTER ed. Robert Crowther

WEEK TWO REVIEW

Miami bounced back from their week one defeat with a win over the Jets. Both defenses struggled but Miami stayed ahead all the way after taking a second quarter lead. The Bills put paid to early rumours of their demise with a convincing win over the Patriots. Despite struggling on the ground Buffalo were very effective on third downs. The Bengals decided to go after the Steelers on the ground, running over fifty times and completing only five passes - but those five passes went for about forty yards each. Pittsburgh had some big plays of their own but couldn't catch up after falling behind in the first half. Cleveland returned to winning ways but had the Jacksonville offense to thank, the Jags coughed up the ball on four occasions. Denver came from behind in the fourth quarter, scoring twice to take them past the Seahawks. Seattle ran the ball well but couldn't retain possession when it counted in the fourth. Kansas City dominated the Raiders through three quarters, completely shutting down the Oakland running game, but nearly threw all their good work away in the fourth. A field goal with nine seconds remaining in overtime preserved the shock result of the week. Washington were, once again, no match for the Cardinals, the game wasn't close after the first quarter. Dallas, for the second consecutive week, ran a much fancied contender very close. The Eagles this time needed a fourth quarter field goal to preserve victory. Tampa Bay came storming back in the fourth quarter in Green Bay, overturning a fourteen point deficit, only to see the Packers snatch victory with a field goal. Detroit gave the Bears the expected beating, two late Chicago touchdowns made the scoreline respectable. In the other shock of the week the Rams defense managed to hold the 49ers to less than twenty points. San Francisco have their third down defense to thank for saving them from defeat. Carolina once again started fast but were eventually overtaken by the Saints in the fourth quarter.

Offensive performance of the week goes to Kansas City, who would have scored a lot more points if they had half decent special teams. Defensive performance of the week goes to Buffalo for holding the Pats to only one touchdown. Special teams performance of the week goes to Cincinnati, perfect on field goals and some big returns.

PREDICTION RANKINGS

		1	Rob Crowther		17
		2	Martin Devine		15
		3	Darren Birtchnell	12.5
		4	Quentin Jenkinson	 9.5

JOHN COLEMAN'S HOW TO ...

How to ... beat the Packers : Do not fumble a snap and not recover it during overtime.

How to ... beat the Saints : With the Saints on 4th and 2, 24 yards out, do not defend the outside run and watch the ball sail up the middle for the winning touchdown.

ALL TIME COACHES STANDINGS

This table lists all the coaches who have ever appeared in the NFLBP, ranked by overall winning percentage. New coaches are not credited (or blamed for) results until the turn after their name first appears on the League Report (ie. from the submission of their first gameplan). The table does not include this season's results, or any consolation bowl results.

					Overall			Reg Season		Playoffs
					W	L	T	 %	W	L	T	 %	W	L	 %
Danny De Simone		15	3	1	816	14	2	1	853	1	1	500
Robert Crowther		44	10	0	815	39	7	0	848	5	3	625
Christopher Baird		37	13	2	731	31	13	2	696	6	0	1
Martin Devine			37	14	0	725	34	12	0	739	3	2	600
Quentin Jenkinson		35	14	1	710	34	11	1	750	1	3	250
Steve Harridge		33	16	0	673	32	14	0	696	1	2	333
Mario Olivier			8	4	0	667	8	4	0	667	0	0
Darren Birtchnell		25	13	1	654	22	11	1	662	3	2	600
Allan Firth			11	7	0	611	11	6	0	647	0	1	000
Tony Mountford		17	12	0	586	16	10	0	615	1	2	333
Pat Ratcliffe			28	20	0	583	27	19	0	587	1	1	500
Ian Rothwell			28	20	0	583	27	19	0	587	1	1	500
Jason Evans			16	14	0	533	16	13	0	552	0	1	000
Nic Torpey			25	22	0	532	25	21	0	543	0	1	000
Ray Spicer			17	15	0	531	15	14	0	517	2	1	667
Michael Scott			24	24	1	500	23	22	1	511	1	2	333
Jonathan Cullen		13	17	0	433	13	17	0	433	0	0
Peter Wilkinson		20	27	0	426	20	26	0	435	0	1	000
Graham Morgan			20	27	0	425	20	26	0	435	0	1	000
Martin Keel			19	27	0	413	19	27	0	413	0	0
Derek Blackhurst		2	3	0	400	2	3	0	400	0	0
Mark Stuart			8	12	0	400	8	12	0	400	0	0
Paul Gaines			17	31	0	354	16	30	0	348	1	1	500
Paul Thorniley		15	31	0	326	15	31	0	326	0	0
Tony Whiting			15	32	0	319	15	31	0	326	0	1	000
Dominic Williams		9	20	0	310	9	20	0	310	0	0
Mick Ashton			14	32	0	304	14	32	0	304	0	0
Darryl Saunders		12	34	0	261	12	34	0	261	0	0
Graham Muir			3	9	0	250	3	9	0	250	0	0
Brian Ball			7	39	0	152	7	39	0	152	0	0
Dave Boulton			2	14	0	125	2	14	0	125	0	0

THIS WEEK IN HISTORY

In season one: The Bengals conceded fifty points to the Chiefs, losing by 29 (my prediction in the newsletter - Bengals by 1), leaving only the Chiefs and Seahawks unbeaten in the AFC. The Cardinals, Eagles, Rams and Saints were all unbeaten in the NFC.

In season two: Green Bay won their first game of the season, after two ties, by whopping the Saints 60-13.

In season three: The Bengals handed the Broncos a 27-0 thrashing which would prove to be their last defeat for some time. Oakland came from behind to beat Cleveland and preserve their perfect record, Arizona, Green Bay and New Orleans won more comfortably to preserve theirs.

WEEK THREE PREVIEW

Predictions and commentary from myself, other predictions from Darren Birtchnell, Quentin Jenkinson and John Coleman.

Browns at Jets The Jets' weaknesses have been all too apparent so far, while the Browns look like a solid team. BROWNS BY 7
DB - BROWNS BY 3 QJ - BROWNS BY 3 JC - JETS BY 7

Bengals at Bills If the Bengals try the same gameplan they used last week then the Bills could be on for another surprisingly big win. Cincy's rookie QB could find himself under all sorts of pressure. BILLS BY 3
DB - NO PREDICTION QJ - BENGALS BY 7 JC - BILLS BY 3

Seahawks at DolphinsMiami looked good last week and should have enough offense to stay ahead of the Seahawks. DOLPHINS BY 7
DB - DOLPHINS BY 3 QJ - DOLPHINS BY 7 JC - DOLPHINS BY 7

Chiefs at Patriots An interesting encounter, we're all expecting a big improvement from the Pats while the Chiefs have played last season's AFC Championship game teams and covered themselves in glory. I'm hoping the Chiefs win so my result doesn't look so bad... CHIEFS BY 3
DB - CHIEFS BY 1 QJ - CHIEFS BY 7 JC - PATRIOTS BY 3

Broncos at SteelersTwo solid teams with strong offenses, homefield gives the Steelers the edge. STEELERS BY 1
DB - STEELERS BY 1 QJ - BRONCOS BY 3 JC - STEELERS BY 7

Raiders at Jaguars After two games the Jags find themselves ranked fifth in overall defense while the Raiders languish at 22nd. Oakland need some major improvement on defense if they are going to prevent this season turning into a disaster.
DB - RAIDERS BY 7 QJ - RAIDERS BY 7 JC - JAGUARS BY 3

Lions at Cardinals The Lions have outscored their opponents so far, but will find this difficult in Arizona. The Cards have so many ways to hurt you - offense, defense and special teams can all contribute to the scoring. CARDINALS BY 7
DB - CARDINALS BY 5 QJ - NO PREDICTION JC - CARDINALS BY 10

Packers at Eagles Green Bay have looked decidedly shaky so far, two close wins over two teams not expected to feature in the playoffs. The Eagles represent their first major test and it should be an interesting matchup. Philadelphia could struggle with the Packers' passing attack. PACKERS BY 3
DB - PACKERS BY 3 QJ - PACKERS BY 3 JC - EAGLES BY 3

Rams at Redskins Both teams are looking for their first win, though the Rams came close last week. If St Louis can repeat their defensive showing of last week they should win comfortably. RAMS BY 10
DB - RAMS BY 3 QJ - RAMS BY 3 JC - REDSKINS BY 1

VPanthers at CowboysBoth teams are somewhat unfortunate to find themselves winless, between them they've lost four games by a total of ten points. The Carolina offense was a bit more balanced last week and this could give them the edge. PANTHERS BY 3
DB - PANTHERS BY 7 QJ - PANTHERS BY 7 JC - PANTHERS BY 3

49ers at Bucs 49ers have looked shaky so far, while the Bucs have played well for no reward. San Francisco have a much more balanced offense than the Packers, however, and should be able to shut down Tampa's running offense. 49ERS BY 7
DB - 49ERS BY 4 QJ - BUCS BY 7 JC - BUCS BY 3

Saints at Bears This game should be over by halftime. SAINTS BY 14
DB - SAINTS BY 14 QJ - SAINTS BY 21 JC - SAINTS BY 15

			RC				DB				QJ				JC
Lock	Cardinals			Raiders			Bengals			Panthers
Shock	Bills			Chiefs			Bucs				Lions
Blowout	Saints			Saints			Saints			Lions
Shootout	Broncs at Stlrs	Seahawks at Dolphs	Broncs at Stlrs	Pack at Eagles
Slugfest	Bengals at Bills	Panthers at Cowboys	Pack at Eagles		Raiders at Jags

SHOCK OF THE WEEK - QUENTIN JENKINSON

The 0-2 Buccaneers have been quite unlucky in their opening games this season, they've played the best two teams from the conference last season extremely close. Tampa Bay closed down the running games of Arizona and Green Bay and should be able to do the same to San Francisco. The 49ers, a perennial force in the BP, look to be in some trouble at the moment. Their week one win at home to the Cowboys was less than convincing and their tie with St Louis was disappointing, to say the least. Look for Steve Stenstrom to replace the ineffectual Steve Young again at some point during the game as the Bucs' defense contains the 49ers and hands them their first defeat of the season.